Senegal's road to the final

Senegal have been knocked out of the World Cup. Here is the run that ended their tournament.

If they win Group I

1. Round of 32projected
   🇸🇪Sweden17% likely
   or Tunisia, Japan
   59% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇩🇪Germany29% likely
   or Ecuador, Côte d'Ivoire
   51% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇳🇱Netherlands20% likely
   or Brazil, Morocco
   40% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain40% likely
   or Argentina, England
   25% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina25% likely
   or France, England
   22% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group I

1. Round of 32projected
   🇪🇨Ecuador30% likely
   or Germany, Côte d'Ivoire
   58% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇷Brazil31% likely
   or Morocco, Netherlands
   37% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England38% likely
   or Mexico, Croatia
   32% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina38% likely
   or Spain, Portugal
   27% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain28% likely
   or France, Argentina
   22% to advance

If they advance from Group I as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🇲🇽Mexico47% likely
   or Korea Republic, Czechia
   54% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England56% likely
   or Croatia, Panama
   33% to advance
3. Round of 32projected
   🇺🇸USA36% likely
   or Türkiye, Australia
   56% to advance
4. Round of 32Result · Eliminated
   🇧🇪BelgiumLost 2–3
   Knocked out of the World Cup
5. Round of 32projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland42% likely
   or Canada, Qatar
   60% to advance
6. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal41% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   43% to advance
7. Round of 16projected
   🇲🇽Mexico35% likely
   or Korea Republic, Uruguay
   51% to advance
8. Round of 16projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England44% likely
   or Croatia, Colombia
   36% to advance
9. Round of 16projected
   🇺🇸USA25% likely
   or Türkiye, Australia
   57% to advance
10. Round of 16projected
    🇧🇪Belgium36% likely
    or IR Iran, Egypt
    48% to advance
11. Round of 16projected
    🇨🇭Switzerland31% likely
    or Canada, Egypt
    53% to advance
12. Round of 16projected
    🇵🇹Portugal29% likely
    or Colombia, Croatia
    43% to advance
13. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇪🇸Spain47% likely
    or England, Argentina
    23% to advance
14. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇫🇷France20% likely
    or Morocco, Brazil
    35% to advance
15. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina48% likely
    or Spain, Belgium
    29% to advance
16. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇫🇷France37% likely
    or Brazil, Morocco
    31% to advance
17. Semi-finalsprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England28% likely
    or France, Brazil
    28% to advance
18. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina38% likely
    or Spain, Portugal
    27% to advance
19. Finalprojected
    🇪🇸Spain28% likely
    or France, Argentina
    23% to advance
20. Finalprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina26% likely
    or England, Spain
    21% to advance