Colombia's road to the final

Colombia finished 1st in Group K. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇬🇭Ghanaconfirmed
   88% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland64% likely
   or Algeria
   62% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina82% likely
   or Egypt, Australia
   34% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England41% likely
   or Brazil, Mexico
   44% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇫🇷France33% likely
   or Spain, Netherlands
   37% to advance