Who will win the World Cup 2026?
Projected champion: ArgentinaUpdated hourly
Title odds — who will win the World Cup 2026
Based on a Monte-Carlo simulation of the remaining knockout bracket, updated hourly.
Round of 32
South Africav Canada
Projected: Canada
Germanyv Paraguay
Projected: Paraguay
Netherlandsv Morocco
Projected: Morocco
Brazilv Japan
Projected: Brazil
Francev Sweden
Projected: France
Côte d'Ivoirev Norway
Projected: Norway
Mexicov Ecuador
Projected: Mexico
Englandv Congo DR
Projected: England
USAv Bosnia and Herzegovina
Projected: USA
Belgiumv Senegal
Projected: Belgium
Portugalv Croatia
Projected: Portugal
Spainv Austria
Projected: Spain
Switzerlandv Algeria
Projected: Switzerland
Argentinav Cabo Verde
Projected: Argentina
Colombiav Ghana
Projected: Colombia
Australiav Egypt
Projected: Egypt
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Third place
Final
Frequently asked questions
Who will win the 2026 World Cup?
Our Monte-Carlo simulation projects Argentina to win the 2026 World Cup, ahead of Spain.
Who are the favourites to win the World Cup 2026?
The favourites are Argentina (50.7%), Spain (49.3%), by simulated chance to lift the trophy.