Who will win the World Cup 2026?
Projected champion: SpainUpdated hourly
Title odds — who will win the World Cup 2026
| # | Team | % to win | % to reach final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 20.2% | 30.3% |
| 2 | Argentina | 14.5% | 24.9% |
| 3 | France | 12.1% | 20.0% |
| 4 | England | 8.4% | 16.0% |
| 5 | Portugal | 1.8% | 5.0% |
| 6 | Brazil | 1.6% | 4.3% |
| 7 | Morocco | 1.5% | 4.2% |
| 8 | Belgium | 1.4% | 4.1% |
| 9 | Netherlands | 1.2% | 3.3% |
| 10 | Mexico | 0.6% | 2.2% |
| 11 | Colombia | 0.6% | 2.0% |
| 12 | Switzerland | 0.6% | 2.1% |
| 13 | Germany | 0.5% | 1.7% |
| 14 | USA | 0.4% | 1.4% |
| 15 | Croatia | 0.4% | 1.4% |
| 16 | Japan | 0.2% | 0.9% |
| 17 | Senegal | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| 18 | Norway | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 19 | Uruguay | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 20 | IR Iran | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 21 | Austria | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| 22 | Egypt | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 23 | Ecuador | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 24 | Australia | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 25 | Canada | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 26 | Algeria | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 27 | Türkiye | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 28 | Côte d'Ivoire | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 29 | Korea Republic | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 30 | Paraguay | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 31 | Sweden | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 32 | Congo DR | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 33 | Panama | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 34 | South Africa | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 35 | Scotland | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 36 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 37 | Czechia | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 38 | Saudi Arabia | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Based on a Monte-Carlo simulation of the remaining knockout bracket, updated hourly.
Round of 32
Korea Republicv Canada
Projected: Canada
Germanyv Türkiye
Projected: Germany
Netherlandsv Morocco
Projected: Morocco
Brazilv Japan
Projected: Brazil
Francev Sweden
Projected: France
Ecuadorv Senegal
Projected: Senegal
Mexicov Scotland
Projected: Mexico
Englandv Norway
Projected: England
USAv Algeria
Projected: USA
Belgiumv South Africa
Projected: Belgium
Colombiav Croatia
Projected: Colombia
Spainv Austria
Projected: Spain
Switzerlandv Egypt
Projected: Switzerland
Argentinav Uruguay
Projected: Argentina
Portugalv Côte d'Ivoire
Projected: Portugal
Australiav IR Iran
Projected: IR Iran
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Third place
Final
Frequently asked questions
Who will win the 2026 World Cup?
Our Monte-Carlo simulation projects Spain to win the 2026 World Cup, ahead of Argentina, France, England.
Who are the favourites to win the World Cup 2026?
The favourites are Spain (20.2%), Argentina (14.5%), France (12.1%), England (8.4%), by simulated chance to lift the trophy.