Who will win the World Cup 2026?
Projected champion: SpainUpdated hourly
Title odds — who will win the World Cup 2026
| # | Team | % to win | % to reach final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 18.5% | 28.4% |
| 2 | Argentina | 15.1% | 25.1% |
| 3 | France | 11.5% | 19.1% |
| 4 | England | 8.5% | 15.6% |
| 5 | Brazil | 1.6% | 4.3% |
| 6 | Morocco | 1.6% | 4.2% |
| 7 | Belgium | 1.5% | 4.3% |
| 8 | Portugal | 1.5% | 4.2% |
| 9 | Netherlands | 1.2% | 3.5% |
| 10 | Mexico | 0.9% | 2.8% |
| 11 | Colombia | 0.7% | 2.2% |
| 12 | Germany | 0.6% | 2.0% |
| 13 | Switzerland | 0.5% | 1.8% |
| 14 | Croatia | 0.4% | 1.6% |
| 15 | USA | 0.3% | 1.3% |
| 16 | Japan | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| 17 | Senegal | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| 18 | Norway | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| 19 | Uruguay | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| 20 | IR Iran | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 21 | Egypt | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 22 | Austria | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| 23 | Ecuador | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 24 | Türkiye | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 25 | Australia | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 26 | Canada | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 27 | Algeria | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 28 | Côte d'Ivoire | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 29 | Korea Republic | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 30 | Paraguay | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 31 | Sweden | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 32 | Congo DR | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 33 | Scotland | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 34 | Panama | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 35 | Czechia | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 36 | South Africa | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 37 | Tunisia | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Based on a Monte-Carlo simulation of the remaining knockout bracket, updated hourly.
Round of 32
Korea Republicv Canada
Projected: Canada
Germanyv Australia
Projected: Germany
Netherlandsv Morocco
Projected: Morocco
Brazilv Japan
Projected: Brazil
Francev Sweden
Projected: France
Ecuadorv Senegal
Projected: Senegal
Mexicov Scotland
Projected: Mexico
Englandv Norway
Projected: England
USAv Algeria
Projected: USA
Belgiumv Czechia
Projected: Belgium
Colombiav Croatia
Projected: Colombia
Spainv Austria
Projected: Spain
Switzerlandv Egypt
Projected: Switzerland
Argentinav Uruguay
Projected: Argentina
Portugalv Côte d'Ivoire
Projected: Portugal
Türkiyev IR Iran
Projected: IR Iran
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Third place
Final
Frequently asked questions
Who will win the 2026 World Cup?
Our Monte-Carlo simulation projects Spain to win the 2026 World Cup, ahead of Argentina, France, England.
Who are the favourites to win the World Cup 2026?
The favourites are Spain (18.5%), Argentina (15.1%), France (11.5%), England (8.5%), by simulated chance to lift the trophy.