Curaçao's road to the final

Curaçao finished 1st in Group E. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

If they win Group E

1. Round of 32projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scotland16% likely
   or Paraguay, Australia
   19% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇫🇷France51% likely
   or Senegal, Norway
   8% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇷Brazil21% likely
   or Netherlands, Morocco
   8% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain34% likely
   or England, Argentina
   5% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina50% likely
   or Spain, France
   0% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group E

1. Round of 32projected
   🇸🇳Senegal31% likely
   or Norway, France
   13% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇷Brazil30% likely
   or Morocco, Netherlands
   9% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England36% likely
   or Mexico, Croatia
   8% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina36% likely
   or Portugal, Belgium
   4% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina40% likely
   or Spain, France
   0% to advance

If they advance from Group E as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🇲🇽Mexico47% likely
   or Korea Republic, South Africa
   17% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England56% likely
   or Croatia, Panama
   9% to advance
3. Round of 32projected
   🇺🇸USA37% likely
   or Australia, Türkiye
   15% to advance
4. Round of 32projected
   🇧🇪Belgium49% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   13% to advance
5. Round of 32projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland47% likely
   or Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina
   17% to advance
6. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal46% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   11% to advance
7. Round of 16projected
   🇲🇽Mexico32% likely
   or Uruguay, Korea Republic
   16% to advance
8. Round of 16projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England48% likely
   or Croatia, Portugal
   8% to advance
9. Round of 16projected
   🇺🇸USA26% likely
   or Switzerland, Paraguay
   18% to advance
10. Round of 16projected
    🇧🇪Belgium37% likely
    or IR Iran, Egypt
    14% to advance
11. Round of 16projected
    🇨🇭Switzerland30% likely
    or Canada, Egypt
    14% to advance
12. Round of 16projected
    🇵🇹Portugal32% likely
    or Colombia, Croatia
    11% to advance
13. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇪🇸Spain53% likely
    or England, Argentina
    4% to advance
14. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇲🇦Morocco19% likely
    or Brazil, France
    7% to advance
15. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina46% likely
    or Spain, Belgium
    8% to advance
16. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇩🇪Germany29% likely
    or France, Morocco
    12% to advance
17. Semi-finalsprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England30% likely
    or Brazil, Morocco
    2% to advance
18. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina44% likely
    or England, Portugal
    2% to advance
19. Finalprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England33% likely
    or Spain, Uruguay
    0% to advance
20. Finalprojected
    🇲🇽Mexico50% likely
    or England
    50% to advance