Ecuador's road to the final

Ecuador advanced from Group E as one of the eight best third-placed teams. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇲🇽Mexicoconfirmed
   30% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England88% likely
   or Congo DR
   25% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇷Brazil50% likely
   or Japan, Norway
   35% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina63% likely
   or Colombia, Switzerland
   23% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇫🇷France33% likely
   or Spain, Morocco
   21% to advance