England's road to the final

England finished 1st in Group L. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇨🇩Congo DRconfirmed
   88% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇲🇽Mexico70% likely
   or Ecuador
   70% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇷Brazil50% likely
   or Japan, Norway
   68% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina64% likely
   or Colombia, Switzerland
   52% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇫🇷France33% likely
   or Spain, Morocco
   52% to advance