Haiti's road to the final

In the Round of 320% to reach the final0% to win it all

Haiti finished 1st in Group C. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

If they win Group C

  1. Round of 32projected
    Japan30% likely
    or Netherlands, Sweden
    13% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    France23% likely
    or Senegal, Norway
    11% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    England36% likely
    or Mexico, Croatia
    7% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    Argentina50% likely
    or Spain, Portugal
    3% to advance
  5. Final
    Austriaconfirmed
    0% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group C

  1. Round of 32projected
    Netherlands44% likely
    or Japan, Sweden
    10% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    Switzerland19% likely
    or Mexico, Korea Republic
    16% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    France41% likely
    or Germany, Morocco
    6% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    Spain36% likely
    or Belgium, England
    4% to advance
  5. Finalprojected
    England50% likely
    or Norway, Argentina
    0% to advance

If they advance from Group C as a best third

  1. Round of 32projected
    Germany44% likely
    or Ecuador, Cรดte d'Ivoire
    13% to advance
  2. Round of 32projected
    France56% likely
    or Norway, Senegal
    9% to advance
  3. Round of 32projected
    Mexico50% likely
    or Korea Republic, Czechia
    13% to advance
  4. Round of 16projected
    Germany32% likely
    or Ecuador, Korea Republic
    14% to advance
  5. Round of 16projected
    France50% likely
    or Senegal, Norway
    7% to advance
  6. Round of 16projected
    England49% likely
    or Croatia, Colombia
    7% to advance
  7. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Brazil20% likely
    or Morocco, Netherlands
    8% to advance
  8. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Morocco21% likely
    or Brazil, France
    6% to advance
  9. Semi-finalsprojected
    Spain42% likely
    or Argentina, Portugal
    3% to advance
  10. Semi-finalsprojected
    Argentina68% likely
    or Belgium, Spain
    4% to advance
  11. Final
    Croatiaconfirmed
    0% to advance
  12. Finalprojected
    France50% likely
    or Argentina
    0% to advance
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