Haiti's road to the final

In the Round of 320% to reach the final0% to win it all

Haiti finished 1st in Group C. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

If they win Group C

  1. Round of 32projected
    Japan30% likely
    or Netherlands, Sweden
    13% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    France22% likely
    or Norway, Senegal
    10% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    England36% likely
    or Mexico, Croatia
    4% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    Argentina29% likely
    or Spain, Algeria
    5% to advance
  5. Final
    Spainconfirmed
    0% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group C

  1. Round of 32projected
    Netherlands44% likely
    or Japan, Sweden
    10% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    Mexico20% likely
    or Switzerland, Korea Republic
    16% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    France38% likely
    or Germany, Morocco
    6% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    Spain41% likely
    or Portugal, Belgium
    5% to advance
  5. Finalprojected
    Croatia20% likely
    or Senegal, Argentina
    0% to advance

If they advance from Group C as a best third

  1. Round of 32projected
    Germany44% likely
    or Ecuador, Cรดte d'Ivoire
    13% to advance
  2. Round of 32projected
    France54% likely
    or Senegal, Norway
    9% to advance
  3. Round of 32projected
    Mexico50% likely
    or Korea Republic, Czechia
    13% to advance
  4. Round of 16projected
    Germany21% likely
    or Ecuador, Mexico
    11% to advance
  5. Round of 16projected
    France51% likely
    or Senegal, Norway
    7% to advance
  6. Round of 16projected
    England48% likely
    or Croatia, Portugal
    7% to advance
  7. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Brazil20% likely
    or Morocco, Netherlands
    8% to advance
  8. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Brazil22% likely
    or France, Morocco
    6% to advance
  9. Semi-finalsprojected
    Spain37% likely
    or England, Belgium
    2% to advance
  10. Semi-finalsprojected
    Argentina32% likely
    or England, Colombia
    4% to advance
  11. Final
    Spainconfirmed
    0% to advance
  12. Final
    Colombiaconfirmed
    0% to advance
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