IR Iran's road to the final
In the Round of 320% to reach the final0% to win it all
IR Iran finished 1st in Group G. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.
If they win Group G
- Round of 32projectedSouth Africa18% likelyor Czechia, Korea Republic58% to advance
- Round of 16projectedUSA24% likelyor Tรผrkiye, Australia50% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedSpain46% likelyor England, Argentina20% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedFrance33% likelyor Netherlands, Morocco27% to advance
- FinalprojectedArgentina26% likelyor England, Spain17% to advance
If they finish 2nd in Group G
- Round of 32projectedUSA27% likelyor Australia, Tรผrkiye51% to advance
- Round of 16projectedArgentina53% likelyor Spain, Uruguay25% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedPortugal21% likelyor Colombia, Switzerland35% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedEngland26% likelyor France, Brazil24% to advance
- FinalprojectedSpain30% likelyor France, Argentina18% to advance
If they advance from Group G as a best third
- Round of 32projectedFrance57% likelyor Senegal, Norway28% to advance
- Round of 32projectedSwitzerland47% likelyor Canada, Qatar52% to advance
- Round of 16projectedGermany30% likelyor Ecuador, Cรดte d'Ivoire46% to advance
- Round of 16projectedPortugal31% likelyor Colombia, Croatia37% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedNetherlands19% likelyor Brazil, Morocco34% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedArgentina47% likelyor Spain, Belgium25% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedSpain40% likelyor Belgium, Argentina22% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedEngland27% likelyor France, Morocco24% to advance
- FinalprojectedSpain29% likelyor France, Argentina19% to advance
- FinalprojectedArgentina29% likelyor England, France21% to advance
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