IR Iran's road to the final

In the Round of 320% to reach the final0% to win it all

IR Iran finished 1st in Group G. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

If they win Group G

  1. Round of 32projected
    Czechia18% likely
    or South Africa, Korea Republic
    58% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    USA24% likely
    or Tรผrkiye, Australia
    50% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Spain46% likely
    or England, Argentina
    20% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    France33% likely
    or Morocco, Netherlands
    27% to advance
  5. Finalprojected
    Argentina25% likely
    or England, Spain
    17% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group G

  1. Round of 32projected
    USA27% likely
    or Australia, Tรผrkiye
    51% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    Argentina53% likely
    or Spain, Uruguay
    25% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Portugal21% likely
    or Colombia, Switzerland
    35% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    England27% likely
    or France, Brazil
    25% to advance
  5. Finalprojected
    Spain29% likely
    or France, Argentina
    18% to advance

If they advance from Group G as a best third

  1. Round of 32projected
    France56% likely
    or Senegal, Norway
    28% to advance
  2. Round of 32projected
    Switzerland47% likely
    or Canada, Qatar
    52% to advance
  3. Round of 16projected
    Germany30% likely
    or Ecuador, Cรดte d'Ivoire
    45% to advance
  4. Round of 16projected
    Portugal31% likely
    or Colombia, Croatia
    37% to advance
  5. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Brazil19% likely
    or Netherlands, Morocco
    36% to advance
  6. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Argentina46% likely
    or Spain, Belgium
    25% to advance
  7. Semi-finalsprojected
    Spain38% likely
    or Belgium, Argentina
    21% to advance
  8. Semi-finalsprojected
    England27% likely
    or France, Brazil
    25% to advance
  9. Finalprojected
    Spain29% likely
    or France, Argentina
    17% to advance
  10. Finalprojected
    Argentina26% likely
    or England, France
    17% to advance
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