Jordan's road to the final

Jordan finished 1st in Group J. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

If they win Group J

1. Round of 32projected
   🇺🇾Uruguay39% likely
   or Saudi Arabia, Spain
   23% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇪Belgium21% likely
   or USA, IR Iran
   18% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇵🇹Portugal22% likely
   or Switzerland, Colombia
   11% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England24% likely
   or France, Brazil
   5% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain27% likely
   or England, Argentina
   9% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group J

1. Round of 32projected
   🇪🇸Spain71% likely
   or Uruguay, Saudi Arabia
   9% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England22% likely
   or Croatia, Portugal
   13% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇪Belgium24% likely
   or USA, IR Iran
   15% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France35% likely
   or Netherlands, Morocco
   11% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain31% likely
   or England, France
   10% to advance

If they advance from Group J as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England62% likely
   or Croatia, Panama
   10% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🇺🇸USA37% likely
   or Australia, Türkiye
   18% to advance
3. Round of 32projected
   🇧🇪Belgium46% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   17% to advance
4. Round of 32projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland47% likely
   or Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina
   21% to advance
5. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal41% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   16% to advance
6. Round of 16projected
   🇲🇽Mexico31% likely
   or Korea Republic, Uruguay
   19% to advance
7. Round of 16projected
   🇺🇸USA27% likely
   or Australia, Türkiye
   19% to advance
8. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇪Belgium35% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   17% to advance
9. Round of 16projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland31% likely
   or Canada, Egypt
   18% to advance
10. Round of 16projected
    🇵🇹Portugal33% likely
    or Colombia, Croatia
    13% to advance
11. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇪🇸Spain47% likely
    or Argentina, England
    6% to advance
12. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇧🇷Brazil22% likely
    or Morocco, France
    7% to advance
13. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina47% likely
    or Spain, Belgium
    9% to advance
14. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇫🇷France38% likely
    or Brazil, Morocco
    9% to advance
15. Semi-finalsprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England31% likely
    or France, Brazil
    6% to advance
16. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina33% likely
    or Switzerland, Portugal
    7% to advance
17. Finalprojected
    🇫🇷France29% likely
    or Spain, England
    0% to advance
18. Finalprojected
    🇲🇦Morocco22% likely
    or France, England
    0% to advance