Jordan's road to the final

Jordan finished 1st in Group J. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

If they win Group J

1. Round of 32projected
   🇺🇾Uruguay39% likely
   or Spain, Saudi Arabia
   23% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇪Belgium20% likely
   or IR Iran, USA
   17% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇵🇹Portugal21% likely
   or Switzerland, Colombia
   10% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England23% likely
   or France, Morocco
   10% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England28% likely
   or Spain, Argentina
   6% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group J

1. Round of 32projected
   🇪🇸Spain69% likely
   or Uruguay, Saudi Arabia
   10% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇭🇷Croatia22% likely
   or England, Portugal
   13% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇪Belgium27% likely
   or USA, IR Iran
   13% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France30% likely
   or Brazil, Morocco
   7% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina32% likely
   or Spain, England
   5% to advance

If they advance from Group J as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England60% likely
   or Croatia, Panama
   10% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🇺🇸USA35% likely
   or Australia, Türkiye
   19% to advance
3. Round of 32projected
   🇧🇪Belgium45% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   17% to advance
4. Round of 32projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland46% likely
   or Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina
   22% to advance
5. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal42% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   14% to advance
6. Round of 16projected
   🇲🇽Mexico35% likely
   or Korea Republic, South Africa
   19% to advance
7. Round of 16projected
   🇺🇸USA26% likely
   or Türkiye, Australia
   20% to advance
8. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇪Belgium34% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   16% to advance
9. Round of 16projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland28% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   19% to advance
10. Round of 16projected
    🇵🇹Portugal31% likely
    or Colombia, Croatia
    13% to advance
11. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇪🇸Spain48% likely
    or Argentina, England
    7% to advance
12. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇲🇦Morocco25% likely
    or Brazil, France
    9% to advance
13. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina47% likely
    or Spain, Belgium
    10% to advance
14. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇫🇷France41% likely
    or Brazil, Morocco
    11% to advance
15. Semi-finalsprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England25% likely
    or France, Brazil
    7% to advance
16. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina28% likely
    or Colombia, Switzerland
    6% to advance
17. Finalprojected
    🇪🇸Spain47% likely
    or France, Argentina
    6% to advance
18. Finalprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina17% likely
    or England, Belgium
    0% to advance