Panama's road to the final

Panama finished 1st in Group L. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

If they win Group L

1. Round of 32projected
   🇨🇩Congo DR20% likely
   or Uzbekistan, Colombia
   36% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇲🇽Mexico35% likely
   or Korea Republic, Czechia
   30% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇷Brazil20% likely
   or Morocco, France
   18% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina38% likely
   or Spain, England
   13% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain25% likely
   or France, England
   8% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group L

1. Round of 32projected
   🇨🇴Colombia32% likely
   or Portugal, Congo DR
   30% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇪🇸Spain58% likely
   or Argentina, Uruguay
   14% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇪Belgium25% likely
   or USA, IR Iran
   26% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France31% likely
   or Brazil, Netherlands
   16% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina25% likely
   or England, Spain
   8% to advance

If they advance from Group L as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal43% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   24% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland30% likely
   or Canada, IR Iran
   31% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina49% likely
   or Spain, Belgium
   15% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England26% likely
   or France, Morocco
   14% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain26% likely
   or France, Argentina
   12% to advance