Scotland's road to the final
In the Round of 320% to reach the final0% to win it all
Scotland finished 1st in Group C. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.
If they win Group C
- Round of 32projectedJapan30% likelyor Netherlands, Sweden34% to advance
- Round of 16projectedFrance22% likelyor Norway, Senegal26% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedEngland37% likelyor Mexico, Croatia17% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedArgentina38% likelyor Spain, Portugal15% to advance
- FinalprojectedSpain27% likelyor France, Argentina9% to advance
If they finish 2nd in Group C
- Round of 32projectedNetherlands44% likelyor Japan, Sweden28% to advance
- Round of 16projectedMexico20% likelyor Switzerland, Canada38% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedFrance39% likelyor Germany, Morocco18% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedSpain40% likelyor Argentina, England14% to advance
- FinalprojectedArgentina25% likelyor England, Spain10% to advance
If they advance from Group C as a best third
- Round of 32projectedGermany44% likelyor Ecuador, Cรดte d'Ivoire33% to advance
- Round of 32projectedFrance52% likelyor Norway, Senegal20% to advance
- Round of 32projectedMexico50% likelyor Korea Republic, Czechia33% to advance
- Round of 16projectedGermany27% likelyor Ecuador, Cรดte d'Ivoire42% to advance
- Round of 16projectedFrance51% likelyor Senegal, Norway19% to advance
- Round of 16projectedEngland48% likelyor Croatia, Portugal19% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedBrazil22% likelyor Morocco, Netherlands21% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedBrazil22% likelyor Morocco, France18% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedSpain39% likelyor Argentina, England13% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedArgentina36% likelyor Spain, Portugal13% to advance
- FinalprojectedSpain30% likelyor France, Argentina11% to advance
- FinalprojectedArgentina25% likelyor England, France14% to advance
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