South Africa's road to the final

South Africa have been knocked out of the World Cup. Here is the run that ended their tournament.

If they win Group A

1. Round of 32projected
   🇸🇦Saudi Arabia11% likely
   or Côte d'Ivoire, Cabo Verde
   38% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England48% likely
   or Croatia, Colombia
   16% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇷Brazil20% likely
   or Morocco, France
   16% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina40% likely
   or Spain, Portugal
   12% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain29% likely
   or France, England
   7% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group A

1. Round of 32Result · Eliminated
   🇨🇦CanadaLost 0–1
   Knocked out of the World Cup
2. Round of 16projected
   🇳🇱Netherlands26% likely
   or Morocco, Brazil
   19% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France42% likely
   or Germany, Senegal
   15% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain38% likely
   or Argentina, England
   12% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina28% likely
   or England, France
   8% to advance

If they advance from Group A as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🇩🇪Germany43% likely
   or Ecuador, Côte d'Ivoire
   28% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🇧🇪Belgium47% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   24% to advance
3. Round of 16projected
   🇫🇷France48% likely
   or Senegal, Norway
   16% to advance
4. Round of 16projected
   🇺🇸USA24% likely
   or Türkiye, Australia
   30% to advance
5. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇳🇱Netherlands22% likely
   or Brazil, Morocco
   18% to advance
6. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain47% likely
   or England, Argentina
   10% to advance
7. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France33% likely
   or Morocco, Netherlands
   15% to advance
8. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain38% likely
   or Argentina, England
   22% to advance
9. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina26% likely
   or Spain, France
   7% to advance