USA's road to the final

USA finished 1st in Group D. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovinaconfirmed
   82% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇪Belgium62% likely
   or Senegal
   46% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain57% likely
   or Portugal, Croatia
   32% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France51% likely
   or Morocco, Netherlands
   31% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina43% likely
   or England, Brazil
   30% to advance