USA's road to the final

USA have been knocked out of the World Cup. Here is the run that ended their tournament.

If they win Group D

1. Round of 32Result · Won
   🇧🇦Bosnia and HerzegovinaWon 2–0
   Advanced to the next round
2. Round of 16Result · Eliminated
   🇧🇪BelgiumLost 1–4
   Knocked out of the World Cup
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain48% likely
   or England, Argentina
   27% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France35% likely
   or Netherlands, Morocco
   36% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina26% likely
   or England, Spain
   27% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group D

1. Round of 32projected
   🇮🇷IR Iran30% likely
   or Egypt, Belgium
   62% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇦🇷Argentina54% likely
   or Spain, Uruguay
   33% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇵🇹Portugal23% likely
   or Switzerland, Colombia
   46% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England28% likely
   or France, Brazil
   34% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain33% likely
   or France, Argentina
   25% to advance

If they advance from Group D as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🇩🇪Germany43% likely
   or Ecuador, Côte d'Ivoire
   61% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🇫🇷France59% likely
   or Norway, Senegal
   37% to advance
3. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal47% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   47% to advance
4. Round of 16projected
   🇩🇪Germany28% likely
   or Morocco, Brazil
   55% to advance
5. Round of 16projected
   🇫🇷France52% likely
   or Senegal, Norway
   38% to advance
6. Round of 16projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland33% likely
   or Canada, Egypt
   60% to advance
7. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇳🇱Netherlands19% likely
   or Morocco, Brazil
   47% to advance
8. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina47% likely
   or Spain, Belgium
   34% to advance
9. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain43% likely
   or Argentina, Belgium
   29% to advance
10. Semi-finalsprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England30% likely
    or France, Morocco
    30% to advance
11. Finalprojected
    🇪🇸Spain33% likely
    or France, Argentina
    22% to advance
12. Finalprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina26% likely
    or England, France
    27% to advance