USA's road to the final

USA have been knocked out of the World Cup. Here is the run that ended their tournament.

If they win Group D

1. Round of 32Result · Won
   🇶🇦QatarWon 2–0
   Advanced to the next round
2. Round of 16Result · Eliminated
   🇧🇪BelgiumLost 1–4
   Knocked out of the World Cup
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain46% likely
   or England, Argentina
   27% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France33% likely
   or Netherlands, Morocco
   36% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina27% likely
   or England, Spain
   25% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group D

1. Round of 32projected
   🇮🇷IR Iran30% likely
   or Egypt, Belgium
   58% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇦🇷Argentina53% likely
   or Spain, Uruguay
   32% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇵🇹Portugal21% likely
   or Colombia, Switzerland
   45% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England27% likely
   or France, Morocco
   33% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain29% likely
   or France, Argentina
   25% to advance

If they advance from Group D as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🇩🇪Germany44% likely
   or Ecuador, Côte d'Ivoire
   58% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🇫🇷France57% likely
   or Norway, Senegal
   36% to advance
3. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal44% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   46% to advance
4. Round of 16projected
   🇩🇪Germany28% likely
   or Morocco, Brazil
   53% to advance
5. Round of 16projected
   🇫🇷France50% likely
   or Senegal, Norway
   37% to advance
6. Round of 16projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland31% likely
   or Canada, Egypt
   57% to advance
7. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇳🇱Netherlands19% likely
   or Morocco, Brazil
   45% to advance
8. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina49% likely
   or Spain, Belgium
   34% to advance
9. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain41% likely
   or Argentina, Belgium
   28% to advance
10. Semi-finalsprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England30% likely
    or France, Morocco
    33% to advance
11. Finalprojected
    🇪🇸Spain30% likely
    or France, Argentina
    26% to advance
12. Finalprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina25% likely
    or England, France
    26% to advance