Argentina's road to the final
In the Round of 3225% to reach the final14% to win it all
Argentina finished 1st in Group J. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.
If they win Group J
- Round of 32Result · WonUruguayWon 3–2Advanced to the next round
- Round of 16Result · WonBelgiumWon 3–2Advanced to the next round
- Quarter-finalsResult · WonPortugalWon 3–1Advanced to the next round
- Semi-finalsResult · WonEnglandWon 2–1Advanced to the next round
- FinalprojectedSpain38% likelyor France, England58% to advance
If they finish 2nd in Group J
- Round of 32projectedSpain71% likelyor Uruguay, Saudi Arabia58% to advance
- Round of 16projectedCroatia21% likelyor England, Portugal77% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedBelgium26% likelyor USA, IR Iran83% to advance
- Semi-finalsprojectedFrance34% likelyor Netherlands, Morocco70% to advance
- FinalprojectedEngland22% likelyor Spain, France65% to advance
If they advance from Group J as a best third
- Round of 32projectedEngland61% likelyor Croatia, Panama67% to advance
- Round of 32projectedUSA36% likelyor Australia, Türkiye88% to advance
- Round of 32projectedBelgium45% likelyor IR Iran, Egypt84% to advance
- Round of 32projectedSwitzerland46% likelyor Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina87% to advance
- Round of 32projectedPortugal42% likelyor Colombia, Congo DR81% to advance
- Round of 16projectedMexico31% likelyor Korea Republic, Uruguay85% to advance
- Round of 16projectedUSA25% likelyor Australia, Türkiye88% to advance
- Round of 16projectedBelgium35% likelyor IR Iran, Egypt84% to advance
- Round of 16projectedSwitzerland32% likelyor Egypt, IR Iran88% to advance
- Round of 16projectedPortugal33% likelyor Colombia, Croatia78% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedSpain54% likelyor England, Portugal58% to advance
- Quarter-finalsprojectedBrazil20% likelyor Morocco, France75% to advance
- Quarter-finalsResult · WonSpainWon 3–1Advanced to the next round
- Semi-finalsprojectedFrance34% likelyor Netherlands, Brazil70% to advance
- Semi-finalsResult · WonEnglandWon 2–1Advanced to the next round
- Semi-finalsResult · WonPortugalWon 2–1Advanced to the next round
- FinalprojectedSpain37% likelyor France, England59% to advance
- FinalprojectedEngland21% likelyor Spain, France65% to advance
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