Argentina's road to the final

In the Round of 3243% to reach the final26% to win it all

Argentina finished 1st in Group J. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

  1. Round of 32
    Cabo Verdeconfirmed
    95% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    Egypt51% likely
    or Australia
    87% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Colombia55% likely
    or Switzerland, Algeria
    78% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    England41% likely
    or Brazil, Mexico
    68% to advance
  5. Finalprojected
    France33% likely
    or Spain, Morocco
    60% to advance
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