Australia's road to the final

Australia finished 2nd in Group D. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇪🇬Egyptconfirmed
   49% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇦🇷Argentina95% likely
   or Cabo Verde
   16% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇨🇴Colombia55% likely
   or Switzerland, Algeria
   36% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England42% likely
   or Brazil, Mexico
   27% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇫🇷France34% likely
   or Spain, Morocco
   20% to advance