Australia's road to the final

Australia have been knocked out of the World Cup. Here is the run that ended their tournament.

If they win Group D

1. Round of 32projected
   🇶🇦Qatar19% likely
   or Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada
   56% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇪Belgium36% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   39% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain46% likely
   or England, Argentina
   18% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France32% likely
   or Netherlands, Morocco
   24% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina26% likely
   or England, Spain
   17% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group D

1. Round of 32Result · Eliminated
   🇮🇷IR IranLost 1–1
   Knocked out of the World Cup
2. Round of 16projected
   🇦🇷Argentina54% likely
   or Spain, Uruguay
   23% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇵🇹Portugal20% likely
   or Colombia, Switzerland
   32% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England27% likely
   or France, Brazil
   22% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain29% likely
   or France, Argentina
   15% to advance

If they advance from Group D as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🇩🇪Germany44% likely
   or Ecuador, Côte d'Ivoire
   44% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🇫🇷France58% likely
   or Senegal, Norway
   25% to advance
3. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal45% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   34% to advance
4. Round of 16projected
   🇩🇪Germany29% likely
   or Morocco, Brazil
   39% to advance
5. Round of 16projected
   🇫🇷France50% likely
   or Senegal, Norway
   26% to advance
6. Round of 16projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland30% likely
   or Canada, IR Iran
   43% to advance
7. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇳🇱Netherlands19% likely
   or Morocco, Brazil
   32% to advance
8. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina45% likely
   or Spain, Belgium
   22% to advance
9. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain40% likely
   or Argentina, Belgium
   19% to advance
10. Semi-finalsprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England30% likely
    or France, Morocco
    17% to advance
11. Finalprojected
    🇪🇸Spain19% likely
    or France, Argentina
    19% to advance
12. Finalprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina25% likely
    or England, France
    18% to advance