Belgium's road to the final

Belgium finished 1st in Group G. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇸🇳Senegalconfirmed
   62% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇺🇸USA82% likely
   or Bosnia and Herzegovina
   63% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain57% likely
   or Portugal, Croatia
   39% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France51% likely
   or Morocco, Netherlands
   38% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina43% likely
   or England, Brazil
   38% to advance