Brazil's road to the final

Brazil finished 1st in Group C. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇯🇵Japanconfirmed
   66% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇳🇴Norway54% likely
   or Côte d'Ivoire
   76% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England61% likely
   or Mexico, Ecuador
   50% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina64% likely
   or Colombia, Switzerland
   44% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇫🇷France33% likely
   or Spain, Morocco
   44% to advance