Croatia's road to the final

Croatia finished 2nd in Group L. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇵🇹Portugalconfirmed
   44% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇪🇸Spain83% likely
   or Austria
   35% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇧🇪Belgium39% likely
   or USA, Senegal
   55% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇫🇷France51% likely
   or Morocco, Netherlands
   37% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina43% likely
   or England, Brazil
   36% to advance