France's road to the final

France finished 1st in Group I. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

1. Round of 32
   🇸🇪Swedenconfirmed
   90% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇩🇪Germany77% likely
   or Paraguay
   78% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🇲🇦Morocco38% likely
   or Netherlands, Canada
   73% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇪🇸Spain43% likely
   or Belgium, Portugal
   66% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina43% likely
   or England, Brazil
   60% to advance