France's road to the final

France have been knocked out of the World Cup. Here is the run that ended their tournament.

If they win Group I

1. Round of 32Result · Won
   🇸🇪SwedenWon 3–0
   Advanced to the next round
2. Round of 16Result · Won
   🇩🇪GermanyWon 1–0
   Advanced to the next round
3. Quarter-finalsResult · Won
   🇳🇱NetherlandsWon 2–0
   Advanced to the next round
4. Semi-finalsResult · Eliminated
   🇪🇸SpainLost 0–2
   Knocked out of the World Cup
5. Finalprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina28% likely
   or England, Spain
   60% to advance

If they finish 2nd in Group I

1. Round of 32projected
   🇪🇨Ecuador30% likely
   or Côte d'Ivoire, Germany
   87% to advance
2. Round of 16projected
   🇧🇷Brazil31% likely
   or Morocco, Netherlands
   75% to advance
3. Quarter-finalsprojected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England39% likely
   or Mexico, Croatia
   69% to advance
4. Semi-finalsprojected
   🇦🇷Argentina39% likely
   or Spain, Portugal
   62% to advance
5. Finalprojected
   🇪🇸Spain33% likely
   or Argentina, England
   61% to advance

If they advance from Group I as a best third

1. Round of 32projected
   🇲🇽Mexico46% likely
   or Korea Republic, Czechia
   85% to advance
2. Round of 32projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England56% likely
   or Croatia, Panama
   67% to advance
3. Round of 32projected
   🇺🇸USA36% likely
   or Australia, Türkiye
   86% to advance
4. Round of 32projected
   🇧🇪Belgium48% likely
   or IR Iran, Egypt
   81% to advance
5. Round of 32projected
   🇨🇭Switzerland43% likely
   or Canada, Qatar
   87% to advance
6. Round of 32projected
   🇵🇹Portugal42% likely
   or Colombia, Congo DR
   79% to advance
7. Round of 16projected
   🇲🇽Mexico35% likely
   or Korea Republic, Uruguay
   82% to advance
8. Round of 16projected
   🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England45% likely
   or Croatia, Portugal
   69% to advance
9. Round of 16projected
   🇺🇸USA26% likely
   or Türkiye, Australia
   88% to advance
10. Round of 16projected
    🇧🇪Belgium37% likely
    or IR Iran, Egypt
    81% to advance
11. Round of 16projected
    🇨🇭Switzerland30% likely
    or Canada, IR Iran
    84% to advance
12. Round of 16projected
    🇵🇹Portugal29% likely
    or Colombia, Croatia
    77% to advance
13. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇪🇸Spain47% likely
    or England, Argentina
    56% to advance
14. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇧🇷Brazil22% likely
    or Morocco, Netherlands
    78% to advance
15. Quarter-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina46% likely
    or Spain, Belgium
    62% to advance
16. Semi-finalsResult · Eliminated
    🇳🇱NetherlandsLost 0–2
    Knocked out of the World Cup
17. Semi-finalsprojected
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England31% likely
    or Morocco, Brazil
    69% to advance
18. Semi-finalsprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina38% likely
    or Spain, Portugal
    61% to advance
19. Finalprojected
    🇪🇸Spain33% likely
    or Argentina, England
    61% to advance
20. Finalprojected
    🇦🇷Argentina29% likely
    or England, Spain
    59% to advance