Portugal's road to the final

In the Round of 326% to reach the final2% to win it all

Portugal finished 2nd in Group K. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

  1. Round of 32
    Croatiaconfirmed
    56% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    Spain83% likely
    or Austria
    40% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Belgium39% likely
    or USA, Senegal
    61% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    France51% likely
    or Morocco, Netherlands
    42% to advance
  5. Finalprojected
    Argentina43% likely
    or England, Brazil
    41% to advance
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