Sweden's road to the final

In the Round of 320% to reach the final0% to win it all

Sweden advanced from Group F as one of the eight best third-placed teams. Here is their projected path to the final and the most likely opponent at each knockout stage, based on simulating the rest of the bracket. Earlier rounds are decided; later opponents get less certain.

Path to the final

  1. Round of 32
    Franceconfirmed
    10% to advance
  2. Round of 16projected
    Germany77% likely
    or Paraguay
    30% to advance
  3. Quarter-finalsprojected
    Netherlands38% likely
    or Morocco, Canada
    25% to advance
  4. Semi-finalsprojected
    Spain42% likely
    or Belgium, Portugal
    20% to advance
  5. Finalprojected
    Argentina45% likely
    or England, Brazil
    17% to advance
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